An estimating instrument

What does your school invest in an A-journal article?

Three numbers your finance office already has, and a handful of judgment calls that only someone inside your school can make. Every one of those calls is a dial here rather than a decision I made for you. The answer comes back as a range, because at this level of knowledge a range is the honest form of the answer.


Runs locally

Nothing you type leaves this page. There is no server, no account, no analytics, no logging, no cookie and no email capture. The arithmetic runs in your browser. Disconnect from the network and it keeps working, or read the page source and confirm it for yourself. Salary figures are sensitive, and an instrument that asks for them should not be one that collects them.

Illustrative

This is an estimating tool, not an audit. It performs arithmetic on the figures you enter and returns an estimate, not a measurement, and not a finding about any institution. Different defensible assumptions produce materially different answers, which is why it shows you the spread rather than a single number. The small print at the bottom says this in the language lawyers prefer.

What you invest

Tenure-stream salary base

Only faculty who carry a research expectation. Leave out clinical, teaching-track, adjunct and lecturer lines. This single decision moves the answer more than anything else on this page.

Your rate, not a standard one. Payroll knows it to the decimal and it differs by institution, by appointment basis and by year. Set it to zero if the salary figure you entered already includes it.

Share of effort allocated to research 40%

40 / 40 / 20 is the common R1 workload model. Where productive faculty teach reduced loads the real share runs higher, so this dial is worth moving.

What it produced

Count on whichever list your school actually manages to. A narrower list means fewer articles and a larger investment behind each one, so the list you choose is part of the answer.

Credit claimed per article 100%

At 100% every article counts once for your school, however many institutions the authors came from. Lower it to credit only your school's share of co-authored work. Nobody has settled which convention is right, so it is yours to set.

How wide to test

The range and the grid below sweep your research share between these bounds, and your article count by this much either side. Widen them if your colleagues would argue for more room.

Estimated investment per A-journal article

Your entered assumptions land at . The band shows every answer across the bounds you set, .

Range of estimated investment per article A horizontal band showing the spread of results across the research allocation bounds and article count variance you set, with your own point estimate marked.

Estimate only. Produced entirely from figures you entered on this page, and no more reliable than they are.

Every combination

Research share down the side, articles per year across the top, your own entry highlighted. Read the corners rather than the middle. If the smallest figure in the grid is still large, the conclusion does not depend on the assumption your colleagues will want to argue about, and the argument no longer needs you in the room.

Estimated investment per article

What you assumed

Every figure above rests on these, and none of them came from me. Copy them alongside any number you quote, so the next person can disagree with the assumption rather than the arithmetic.

    What this does not price

    This is the investment line of an account whose return line has never been opened.

    The estimate above tells you what the school puts in. It does not tell you what came back. The academic side of that question has an elaborate apparatus behind it, built over decades, and all of it measures attention from other researchers, which is a real thing to measure and is not the same thing as a return. On the economic side there is almost nothing, at any school, in any country, under any framework built so far.

    So read the figure for what it is. It describes a serious investment, made deliberately, by institutions that are good at what they do. None of this is an argument for investing less in scholarship. It is an argument that an organization spending at this scale should be able to say what it spends, before anyone reaches the harder question of what it earned.

    The method, and where the judgment sits

    The calculation. Multiply the tenure-stream salary base by the share of faculty effort allocated to research, then divide by the number of A-list articles produced in a year. Add benefits if your salary figure excludes them, which it usually does. The approach is not mine. Roger Martin set it out while sitting dean of the Rotman School, in the Academy of Management Learning and Education in 2012, and every serious attempt since has used some version of it.

    Who counts. This is the decision that moves the answer most, and it is the easiest one to get wrong. A departmental roster is not a research faculty. A substantial share of the people on one hold clinical, of instruction, of practice, adjunct or lecturer appointments and carry no research expectation at all, so counting the department rather than the faculty can overstate the base by a wide margin. Chairs, department heads and associate deans do belong in it, since they hold tenure-stream appointments and are still expected to publish, and a unit that looks administrative from its name alone may hold some of the most expensive researchers in the building. Check the units rather than trusting their labels.

    Why the credit dial exists. Two schools can both claim the same co-authored article, so counting every article once for every school that touched it produces a different denominator than crediting each school its share. There is no settled convention, and the choice moves the answer substantially. I have not made it for you.

    What this leaves out. Research assistants, databases, software, travel, course releases, conference presentations, summer support, facilities, and every project that consumed resources without producing a publication. Whatever this returns, your real figure is higher.

    Why a range. The salary side can be exact, because your finance office knows it to the dollar. Everything downstream of it is a judgment. A single number would claim a precision the inputs do not support.

    Build it in your own spreadsheet

    You do not need this page. The whole argument is that this figure has always been within reach, so here is the arithmetic in a form you can put in front of your own finance office, with your own roster and your own rates.

    Five cells and one formula. Your version will be better than anything produced from outside, because you can replace the two figures that weaken every external estimate: the benefits rate, which payroll knows exactly, and the article count, which your own office already reports to your accreditor.

    Investment per article = salary base × (1 + benefits rate) × research share ÷ (articles × credit share)

    The first two terms give the fully loaded compensation of the research-expectation faculty. The third takes the portion of that compensation the school allocates to research. The division spreads it across what that allocation produced, on whatever counting convention you chose.

    The five inputs and the formula
    CellWhat goes in itExample
    B1Tenure-stream salary base, research-expectation faculty only36000000
    B2Benefits and payroll load as a decimal. Enter 0 if already included0.28
    B3Share of effort allocated to research, as a decimal0.40
    B4A-list articles per year, on your own list40
    B5Credit claimed per article, as a decimal. Enter 1 to count each article once1
    B7=B1*(1+B2)*B3/(B4*B5)460800

    To rebuild the sensitivity grid, put your article counts across row 9 starting in B9, put your research shares down column A starting in A10, then enter the formula below in B10 and fill it right and down. The mixed references are what let one formula serve the whole grid.

    B10  =$B$1*(1+$B$2)*$A10/(B$9*$B$5)

    Change one input at the top and the whole grid moves, which is the useful part. A grid that stays large across every combination anyone would defend is a stronger result than any single figure in it.

    This is part of a series on the economics of business school scholarship. If your school runs this and gets a number, that number is better than anything anyone can construct from the outside, which is exactly the point. The figure was knowable the whole time. It just is not kept.